Dataset Information

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism: echocardiography predictors of clinical deterioration.

ABSTRACT:

Background

We determine the predictive value of transthoracic echocardiographic (TTE) metrics for clinical deterioration within 5 days in adults with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE).

Methods

This was a prospective observational study of intermediate-risk PE patients. To determine associations of TTE and clinical predictors with clinical deterioration, we used univariable analysis, Youden's index for optimal thresholds, and multivariable analyses to report odds ratios (ORs) or area under the curve (AUC).

Results

Of 306 intermediate-risk PE patients, 115 (37.6%) experienced clinical deterioration. PE patients who had clinical deterioration within 5 days had greater baseline right ventricle (RV) dilatation and worse systolic function than the group without clinical deterioration as indicated by the following: RV basal diameter 4.46 ± 0.77 versus 4.20 ± 0.77 cm; RV/LV basal width ratio 1.14 ± 0.29 versus 1.02 ± 0.24; tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) 1.56 ± 0.55 versus 1.80 ± 0.52 cm; and RV systolic excursion velocity 10.40 ± 3.58 versus 12.1 ± 12.5 cm/s, respectively. Optimal thresholds for predicting clinical deterioration were: RV basal width 3.9 cm (OR 2.85 [1.64, 4.97]), RV-to-left ventricle (RV/LV) ratio 1.08 (OR 3.32 [2.07, 5.33]), TAPSE 1.98 cm (OR 3.3 [2.06, 5.3]), systolic excursion velocity 10.10 cm/s (OR 2.85 [1.75, 4.63]), and natriuretic peptide 190 pg/mL (OR 2.89 [1.81, 4.62]). Significant independent predictors were: transient hypotension 6.1 (2.2, 18.9), highest heart rate 1.02 (1.00, 1.03), highest respiratory rate 1.02 (1.00, 1.04), and RV/LV ratio 1.29 (1.14, 1.47). By logistic regression and random forest analyses, AUCs were 0.80 (0.73, 0.87) and 0.78 (0.70, 0.85), respectively.

Conclusions

Basal RV, RV/LV ratio, and RV systolic function measurements were significantly different between intermediate-risk PE patients grouped by subsequent clinical deterioration.

SUBMITTER: Weekes AJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9166499 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism: echocardiography predictors of clinical deterioration.

Weekes Anthony J AJ Fraga Denise N DN Belyshev Vitaliy V Bost William W Gardner Christopher A CA O'Connell Nathaniel S NS

Critical care (London, England) 20220604 1

<h4>Background</h4>We determine the predictive value of transthoracic echocardiographic (TTE) metrics for clinical deterioration within 5 days in adults with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE).<h4>Methods</h4>This was a prospective observational study of intermediate-risk PE patients. To determine associations of TTE and clinical predictors with clinical deterioration, we used univariable analysis, Youden's index for optimal thresholds, and multivariable analyses to report odds ratios (OR ...[more]

PMID: 35659340

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Project description:IntroductionPrognosis and management of patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) is challenging. We investigated whether stroke volume may be used to identify the subset of this population at increased risk of clinical deterioration or PE-related death. Our secondary objective was to compare echocardiographic measurements of patients who received escalated interventions vs anticoagulation monotherapy.MethodsWe selected patients with intermediate-risk PE, who had comprehensive echocardiography within 18 hours of PE diagnosis and before any escalated interventions, from a PE registry populated by 11 emergency departments. Echocardiographers measured right ventricle (RV) size, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), and stroke volume (SV) using velocity time integral (VTI) by left ventricular (LV) outflow tract Doppler or two-dimensional method of discs (MOD). The primary outcome was a composite of PE-related death, cardiac arrest, catecholamine administration for sustained hypotension, or emergency respiratory intervention during the index hospitalization. Secondary outcome was escalated intervention with reperfusion or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation therapy.ResultsOf 370 intermediate-risk PE patients (mean age 64.0 ± 15.5 years, 38.1% male), 39 (10.5%) had the primary outcome. These 39 patients had lower mean SV regardless of measurement method than those without the primary outcome: SV MOD 36.2 vs 49.9 milliliters (mL), P < 0.001; SV Doppler 41.7 vs 57.2 mL, P = 0.003; VTI 13.6 vs 17.9 centimeters [cm], P = 0.003. Patients with primary outcome also had lower mean TAPSE than those without (1.54 vs 1.81 cm, P = 0.003). Multivariable models, selecting SV as predictor, had area under the receiver operating curve of 0.8 and Brier score 0.08. The best echocardiographic predictor of our primary outcome was SV MOD (odds ratio 0.72 [0.53, 0.94], P = 0.02). Patients who received escalated interventions had significantly lower SV or surrogate measurements, greater RV dilatation, and lower RV systolic function than patients who received anticoagulation monotherapy.ConclusionLow stroke volume was a predictor of clinical deterioration and PE-related death. Low SV may be used to identify a subset of intermediate-risk PE patients, who are higher risk (intermediate-high risk), and for whom escalated interventions should be considered.

Project description:BackgroundPatients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) can be treated with anticoagulation monotherapy. However, clinicians are concerned as to whether anticoagulation monotherapy is sufficient to reduce mortality in patients with a large embolic burden, and to resolve vascular obstruction. We investigated whether anticoagulation monotherapy was appropriate in patients with intermediate risk PE in terms of the occurrence of residual pulmonary vascular obstruction (RPVO), and the factors that independently predict the occurrence of RPVO.MethodsThis was a multicenter retrospective observational study of patients at intermediate risk of PE who were admitted to three hospitals between January 2012 and December 2017.ResultsOf total 91 patients, the median age was 72 years and 37 (40.7%) were male. Twenty-five patients (27.5%) were diagnosed with RPVO during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression revealed chronic lung disease [odds ratio (OR), 4.14; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.243-13.797; P=0.021] and the ratio of the diameters of the main pulmonary artery and ascending aorta ratio (P/A ratio) >1.0 documented on a chest computed tomography (CT) at presentation (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.113-10.770; P=0.032) were significant independent predictors of RPVO occurrence. The incidence of RPVO in patients without these two factors was only 9.7%, but in those with the two factors it was 60% (P=0.004).ConclusionsAnticoagulation monotherapy did not seem to be a sufficient treatment to reduce RPVO, but the outcome was similar to that of patients treated with other therapies. Therefore, considering the risk-benefit ratio, we do not need to change the initial treatment as systemic thrombolytic therapy or catheter-based therapy in patient with intermediate risk PE. Underlying chronic lung disease and a P/A ratio >1 on the initial chest CT predicted the occurrence of RPVO. Therefore, we should carefully assess persistent of dyspnea and exercise limitations using various methods in patients with these risk factors, to detect the occurrence of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary disease (CTEPD) earlier.

Dataset Information

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism: echocardiography predictors of clinical deterioration.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism: echocardiography predictors of clinical deterioration.

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