Trends and projections in cutaneous melanoma death in the Netherlands from 1950 to 2045.

ABSTRACT:

Abstract

Child sun protection has recently been linked to the future disappearance of fatal melanoma in adults in successive generations. In the Netherlands, however, mortality rates from melanoma have increased gradually from the 1950s, with some indication of stabilisation since 2010, which may be compatible with a birth cohort effect by sun-protective measures and screening. To study the trajectories ahead a trend analysis was applied. Numbers of people with cutaneous melanoma as underlying cause of death from 1950 to 2018 and population data were derived from Statistics Netherlands. A graphical approach was used to explore trends in mortality by age, calendar period, and cohorts born in the successive periods of 1889 to 1979. Age-period-cohort modelling outcomes and population

SUBMITTER: van Niekerk CC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9191606 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature