Aortic stenosis post-COVID-19: a mathematical model on waiting lists and mortality.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To provide estimates for how different treatment pathways for the management of severe aortic stenosis (AS) may affect National Health Service (NHS) England waiting list duration and associated mortality.

Design

We constructed a mathematical model of the excess waiting list and found the closed-form analytic solution to that model. From published data, we calculated estimates for how the strategies listed under Interventions may affect the time to clear the backlog of patients waiting for treatment and the associated waiting list mortality.

Setting

The NHS in England.

Participants

Estimated patients with AS in England.

Interventions

(1) Increasing the capacity for the treatment of severe AS, (2) converting proportions of cases from surgery to

SUBMITTER: Stickels CP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9207579 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature