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A decade-long longitudinal survey shows that the Supreme Court is now much more conservative than the public.


ABSTRACT: Significance Leveraging three unique surveys collected over a decade that ask members of the public about the policy issues before the US Supreme Court, we show how the court stands relative to the public. As we demonstrate, the court has, since 2020, become much more conservative than the public and is now more similar to Republicans in its ideological position on key issues. We also find that members of the public update their beliefs about the court's ideology when its composition and rulings change. Even so, many members of the public currently underestimate the court's conservative leaning, which in turn makes them less likely to support making changes to the institution than they would otherwise.

SUBMITTER: Jessee S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9214517 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A decade-long longitudinal survey shows that the Supreme Court is now much more conservative than the public.

Jessee Stephen S   Malhotra Neil N   Sen Maya M  

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20220606 24


Has the US Supreme Court become more conservative than the public? We introduce results of three surveys conducted over the course of a decade that ask respondents about their opinions on the policy issues before the court. Using these data, we show that the gap between the court and the public has grown since 2020, with the court moving from being quite close to the average American to a position that is more conservative than the majority of Americans. Second, in contrast to findings showing c  ...[more]

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