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Molecular signatures of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.


ABSTRACT: Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associated with IDO1+ dendritic cells and dysfunctional CD8+ T cells in fibrotic portal tracts along with impaired metabolic regulators. PLS-NAFLD was validated in independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD who were HCC naïve (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 22.7 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively) or HCC experienced (de novo HCC recurrence rates at 5 years were 71.8 and 42.9% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). PLS-NAFLD was bioinformatically translated into a four-protein secretome signature, PLSec-NAFLD, which was validated in an independent cohort of HCC-naïve patients with NAFLD and cirrhosis (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 37.6 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). Combination of PLSec-NAFLD with our previously defined etiology-agnostic PLSec-AFP yielded improved HCC risk stratification. PLS-NAFLD was modified by bariatric surgery, lipophilic statin, and IDO1 inhibitor, suggesting that the signature can be used for drug discovery and as a surrogate end point in HCC chemoprevention clinical trials. Collectively, PLS/PLSec-NAFLD may enable NAFLD-specific HCC risk prediction and facilitate clinical translation of NAFLD-directed HCC chemoprevention.

SUBMITTER: Fujiwara N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9236162 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Molecular signatures of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Fujiwara Naoto N   Kubota Naoto N   Crouchet Emilie E   Koneru Bhuvaneswari B   Marquez Cesia A CA   Jajoriya Arun K AK   Panda Gayatri G   Qian Tongqi T   Zhu Shijia S   Goossens Nicolas N   Wang Xiaochen X   Liang Shuang S   Zhong Zhenyu Z   Lewis Sara S   Taouli Bachir B   Schwartz Myron E ME   Fiel Maria Isabel MI   Singal Amit G AG   Marrero Jorge A JA   Fobar Austin J AJ   Parikh Neehar D ND   Raman Indu I   Li Quan-Zhen QZ   Taguri Masataka M   Ono Atsushi A   Aikata Hiroshi H   Nakahara Takashi T   Nakagawa Hayato H   Matsushita Yuki Y   Tateishi Ryosuke R   Koike Kazuhiko K   Kobayashi Masahiro M   Higashi Takaaki T   Nakagawa Shigeki S   Yamashita Yo-Ichi YI   Beppu Toru T   Baba Hideo H   Kumada Hiromitsu H   Chayama Kazuaki K   Baumert Thomas F TF   Hoshida Yujin Y  

Science translational medicine 20220622 650


Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associ  ...[more]

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