Risk of Intensive Care Unit admission or mortality in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 during the first two waves: an Italian cohort study.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Sacerdote C
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9245397 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Risk of Intensive Care Unit admission or mortality in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 during the first two waves: An Italian cohort study.
Sacerdote Carlotta C Milani Lorenzo L Castiglione Anna A Pagano Eva E Migliore Enrica E Albera Carlo C Bo Mario M Brazzi Luca L De Rosa Francesco Giuseppe FG Durazzo Marilena M Lupia Enrico E Montrucchio Giuseppe G Pivetta Emanuele E Porta Massimo M Scaglione Luca L Veglio Franco F Zanierato Marinella M Ricceri Fulvio F Caramello Valeria V Scozzari Gitana G Scarmozzino Antonio A
The Journal of infection 20220630 4
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Project description:BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic has created pressure on healthcare systems worldwide. Tools that can stratify individuals according to prognosis could allow for more efficient allocation of healthcare resources and thus improved patient outcomes. It is currently unclear if blood gene expression signatures derived from patients at the point of admission to hospital could provide useful prognostic information.MethodsGene expression of whole blood obtained at the point of admission from a cohort of 78 patients hospitalised with COVID-19 during the first wave was measured by high resolution RNA sequencing. Gene signatures predictive of admission to Intensive Care Unit were identified and tested using machine learning and topological data analysis, TopMD.ResultsThe best gene expression signature predictive of ICU admission was defined using topological data analysis with an accuracy: 0.72 and ROC AUC: 0.76. The gene signature was primarily based on differentially activated pathways controlling epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) presentation, Peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha (PPAR-α) signalling and Transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β) signalling.ConclusionsGene expression signatures from blood taken at the point of admission to hospital predicted ICU admission of treatment naïve patients with COVID-19.
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Project description:ObjectivesThis study aimed to determine factors associated with intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19.DesignRetrospective cohort.SettingConfirmed hospitalised patients from all over Iran were considered for the study.ParticipantsAll patients with COVID-19 admitted to the hospital from March 2020 to May 2021 were included by census. ICU admission was defined by the following criteria: (1) admission to the ICU ward; (2) level of consciousness (loss of consciousness); and (3) use of invasive ventilation.MethodsThis is a secondary data analysis from the Medical Care Monitoring Center. The association between different variables and ICU admission was assessed by forward Logistic regression and restricted cubic spline method.ResultsThe mean age of the 1 469 620 patients with COVID-19 was 54.49±20.58 years old, and 51.32% of the patients were male. The prevalence of ICU admission was 19.19%. The mean age of patients admitted to the ICU was higher than that of other hospitalised patients (62.49±19.73 vs 52.59±20.31 years). The prevalence of ICU admission was 17.17% in the first, 21.52% in the second, 19.72% in the third, 21.43 in the fourth and 17.4% in the fifth wave. In the multivariable model, age groups, sex, waves of the epidemic, comorbidities and saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2) <93% and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) were associated with an increased odds of ICU admission. The OR for ICU admission indicates a significant protective effect at a young age and then a significant risk factor for admission to the ICU ward at an old age.ConclusionsMen, older adults, people who suffer from ARDS, patients with SpO2 levels of less than 93% and cases with comorbidities had the highest odds of ICU admission. Therefore, these groups should take all necessary precautions to avoid contracting COVID-19.
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Project description:BackgroundAdmission to the intensive care unit (ICU) outside daytime hours has been shown to be variably associated with increased morbidity and mortality. We aimed to describe the characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to the ICU afterhours (22:00-06:59 h) in a large Canadian health region. We further hypothesized that the association between afterhours admission and mortality would be modified by indicators of strained ICU capacity.MethodsThis is a population-based cohort study of 12,265 adults admitted to nine ICUs in Alberta from June 2012 to December 2014. We used a path-analysis modeling strategy and mixed-effects multivariate regression analysis to evaluate direct and integrated associations (mediated through Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score) between afterhours admission (22:00-06:59 h) and ICU mortality. Further analysis examined the effects of strained ICU capacity and varied definitions of afterhours and weekend admissions. ICU occupancy ≥ 90% or clustering of admissions (≥ 0.15, defined as number of admissions 2 h before or after the index admission, divided by the number of ICU beds) were used as indicators of strained capacity.ResultsOf 12,265 admissions, 34.7% (n = 4251) occurred afterhours. The proportion of afterhours admissions varied amongst ICUs (range 26.7-37.8%). Patients admitted afterhours were younger (median (IQR) 58 (44-70) vs 60 (47-70) years, p < 0.0001), more likely to have a medical diagnosis (75.9% vs 72.1%, p < 0.0001), and had higher APACHE II scores (20.9 (8.6) vs 19.9 (8.3), p < 0.0001). Crude ICU mortality was greater for those admitted afterhours (15.9% vs 14.1%, p = 0.007), but following multivariate adjustment there was no direct or integrated effect on ICU mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.024; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.923-1.135, p = 0.658). Furthermore, direct and integrated analysis showed no association of afterhours admission and hospital mortality (p = 0.90) or hospital length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.27), although ICU LOS was shorter (p = 0.049). Early-morning admission (00:00-06:59 h) with ICU occupancy ≥ 90% was associated with short-term (≤ 7 days) and all-cause ICU mortality.ConclusionsOne-third of critically ill patients are admitted to the ICU afterhours. Afterhours ICU admission was not associated with greater mortality risk in most circumstances but was sensitive to strained ICU capacity.
| S-EPMC5905119 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveTo compare the incidence of, and mortality after, intensive care unit (ICU) admission as well as the characteristics of critical illness in the multiple sclerosis (MS) population vs the general population.MethodsWe used population-based administrative data from the Canadian province of Manitoba for the period 1984 to 2010 and clinical data from 93% of admissions to provincial high-intensity adult ICUs. We identified 5,035 prevalent cases of MS and a cohort from the general population matched 5:1 on age, sex, and region of residence. We compared these populations using incidence rates and multivariable regression models adjusting for age, sex, comorbidity, and socioeconomic status.ResultsFrom January 2000 to October 2009, the age- and sex-standardized annual incidence of ICU admission among prevalent cohorts was 0.51% to 1.07% in the MS population and 0.34% to 0.51% in matched controls. The adjusted risk of ICU admission was higher for the MS population (hazard ratio 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.75) than for matched controls. The MS population was more likely to be admitted for infection than the matched controls (odds ratio 1.82; 95% CI 1.10-1.32). Compared with the matched controls admitted to ICUs, 1-year mortality was higher in the MS population (relative risk 2.06; 95% CI 1.32-3.07) and was particularly elevated in patients with MS who were younger than 40 years (relative risk 3.77; 95% CI 1.45-8.11). Causes of death were MS (9.3%), infections (37.0%), and other causes (52.9%).ConclusionsCompared with the general population, the risk of ICU admission is higher in MS, and 1-year mortality after admission is higher. Greater attention to preventing infection and managing comorbidity is needed in the MS population.
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Project description:IntroductionRecent data have suggested that patient admission during intensive care unit (ICU) morning bedside rounds is associated with less favorable outcome. We undertook the present study to explore the association between morning round-time ICU admissions and hospital mortality in a large Canadian health region.MethodsA multi-center retrospective cohort study was performed at five hospitals in Edmonton, Canada, between July 2002 and December 2009. Round-time ICU admission was defined as occurring between 8 and 11:59 a.m. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to explore the association between round-time admission and outcome.ResultsOf 18,857 unique ICU admissions, 2,055 (10.9%) occurred during round time. Round-time admissions were more frequent in community hospitals compared with tertiary hospitals (12.0% vs. 10.5%; odds ratio [OR] 1.16; 95% CI, 1.05-1.29, P < 0.004) and from the ward compared with the emergency department (ED) or operating theater (17.5% vs. 9.2%; OR 2.1; 95% CI, 1.9-2.3, P < 0.0001). Round-time admissions were more often medical than surgical (12.6% vs. 6.6%; OR 2.06; 95% CI, 1.83-2.31, P < 0.0001), had more comorbid illness (11.9% vs. 10.5%; OR 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04-1.27, P < 0.008) and higher APACHE II score (22.2 vs. 21.3, P < 0.001), and were more likely to have a primary diagnosis of respiratory failure (37.0% vs. 31.3%, P < 0.001) or sepsis (11.1% vs. 9.0%, P = 0.002). Crude ICU mortality (15.3% vs. 11.6%; OR 1.38; 95% CI, 1.21-1.57, P < 0.0001) and hospital mortality (23.9% vs. 20.6%; OR 1.21; 95% CI, 1.09-1.35, P < 0.001) were higher for round-time compared with non-round-time admissions. In multi-variable analysis, round-time admission was associated with increased ICU mortality (OR 1.19, 95% CI, 1.03-1.38, P = 0.017) but was not significantly associated with hospital mortality (OR 1.02; 95% CI, 0.90-1.16, P = 0.700). In the subgroup admitted from the ED, round-time admission showed significantly higher ICU mortality (OR 1.54; 95% CI, 1.21-1.95; P < 0.001) and a trend for higher hospital mortality (OR 1.22; 95% CI, 0.99-1.51, P = 0.057).ConclusionsApproximately 1 in 10 patients is admitted during morning rounds. These patients are more commonly admitted from the ward and are burdened by comorbidities, are non-operative, and have higher illness severity. These patients admitted during morning rounds have higher observed ICU mortality but no difference in hospital mortality.
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Project description:Patients with schizophrenia (SCZ) represent a vulnerable population who have been understudied in COVID-19 research. We aimed to establish whether health outcomes and care differed between patients with SCZ and patients without a diagnosis of severe mental illness. We conducted a population-based cohort study of all patients with identified COVID-19 and respiratory symptoms who were hospitalized in France between February and June 2020. Cases were patients who had a diagnosis of SCZ. Controls were patients who did not have a diagnosis of severe mental illness. The outcomes were in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. A total of 50 750 patients were included, of whom 823 were SCZ patients (1.6%). The SCZ patients had an increased in-hospital mortality (25.6% vs 21.7%; adjusted OR 1.30 [95% CI, 1.08-1.56], P = .0093) and a decreased ICU admission rate (23.7% vs 28.4%; adjusted OR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.62-0.91], P = .0062) compared with controls. Significant interactions between SCZ and age for mortality and ICU admission were observed (P = .0006 and P < .0001). SCZ patients between 65 and 80 years had a significantly higher risk of death than controls of the same age (+7.89%). SCZ patients younger than 55 years had more ICU admissions (+13.93%) and SCZ patients between 65 and 80 years and older than 80 years had less ICU admissions than controls of the same age (-15.44% and -5.93%, respectively). Our findings report the existence of disparities in health and health care between SCZ patients and patients without a diagnosis of severe mental illness. These disparities differed according to the age and clinical profile of SCZ patients, suggesting the importance of personalized COVID-19 clinical management and health care strategies before, during, and after hospitalization for reducing health disparities in this vulnerable population.
| S-EPMC7665717 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundHypoxia and hypercapnia due to acute pulmonary failure in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can increase the intracranial pressure (ICP). ICP correlated with the optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) on ultrasonography and is associated with a poor prognosis.AimWe investigated the capability of ONSD measured during admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) in patients with critical COVID-19 in predicting in-hospital mortality.MethodsA total of 91 patients enrolled in the study were divided into two groups: survivor (n = 48) and nonsurvivor (n = 43) groups. ONSD was measured by ultrasonography within the first 3 h of ICU admission.ResultsThe median ONSD was higher in the nonsurvivor group than in the survivor group (5.95 mm vs. 4.15 mm, p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis between ONSD and in-hospital mortality (contains 26 covariates) was significant (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.46-11.55; p = 0.007). The ONSD cutoff for predicting mortality during ICU admission was 5 mm (area under the curve, 0.985; sensitivity, 98%; and specificity, 90%). The median survival of patients with ONSD >5 mm (43%; n = 39) was lower than those with ONSD ≤ 5 mm (57%; n = 52) (11.5 days vs 13.2 days; log-rank test p = 0.001).ConclusionsONSD ultrasonography during ICU admission may be an important, cheap, and easy-to-apply method that can be used to predict mortality in the early period in patients with critical COVID-19.
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