A hybrid empirical and parametric approach for managing ecosystem complexity: Water quality in Lake Geneva under nonstationary futures.

ABSTRACT: Severe deterioration of water quality in lakes, characterized by overabundance of algae and declining dissolved oxygen in the deep lake (DO_B), was one of the ecological crises of the 20th century. Even with large reductions in phosphorus loading, termed "reoligotrophication," DO_B and chlorophyll (CHL) have often not returned to their expected pre-20th-century levels. Concurrently, management of lake health has been confounded by possible consequences of climate change, particularly since the effects of climate are not neatly separable from the effects of eutrophication. Here, using Lake Geneva as an iconic example, we demonstrate a complementary alternative to parametric models for understanding and managing lake systems. This involves establishing an empirically-driv

SUBMITTER: Deyle ER 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9245694 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature