HIV incidence and impact of interventions among female sex workers and their clients in the Middle East and north Africa: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The incidence of HIV infection among female sex workers and their clients in the Middle East and north Africa is not well known. We aimed to assess HIV incidence, the contribution of heterosexual sex work networks to these numbers, and the effect of interventions by use of mathematical modelling.

Methods

In this modelling study, we developed a novel, individual-based model to simulate HIV epidemic dynamics in heterosexual sex work networks. We applied this model to 12 countries in the Middle East and north Africa that had sufficient data to estimate incidence in 2020 and the impact of interventions by 2030 (Algeria, Bahrain, Djibouti, Iran, Libya, Morocco, Pakistan, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Tunisia, and Yemen). Model-input parameters were provided through a sy

SUBMITTER: Chemaitelly H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9253890 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature