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Interplay between demographic, clinical and polygenic risk factors for severe COVID-19.


ABSTRACT:

Background

We aimed to identify clinical, socio-demographic and genetic risk factors for severe COVID-19 (hospitalization, critical care admission or death) in the general population.

Methods

In this observational study, we identified 9560 UK Biobank participants diagnosed with COVID-19 during 2020. A polygenic risk score (PRS) for severe COVID-19 was derived and optimized using publicly available European and trans-ethnic COVID-19 genome-wide summary statistics. We estimated the risk of hospital or critical care admission within 28 days or death within 100 days following COVID-19 diagnosis, and assessed associations with socio-demographic factors, immunosuppressant use and morbidities reported at UK Biobank enrolment (2006-2010) and the PRS. To improve biological understanding, pathway analysis was performed using genetic variants comprising the PRS.

Results

We included 9560 patients followed for a median of 61 (interquartile range = 34-88) days since COVID-19 diagnosis. The risk of severe COVID-19 increased with age and obesity, and was higher in men, current smokers, those living in socio-economically deprived areas, those with historic immunosuppressant use and individuals with morbidities and higher co-morbidity count. An optimized PRS, enriched for single-nucleotide polymorphisms in multiple immune-related pathways, including the 'oligoadenylate synthetase antiviral response' and 'interleukin-10 signalling' pathways, was associated with severe COVID-19 (adjusted odds ratio 1.32, 95% CI 1.11-1.58 for the highest compared with the lowest PRS quintile).

Conclusion

This study conducted in the pre-SARS-CoV-2-vaccination era, emphasizes the novel insights to be gained from using genetic data alongside commonly considered clinical and socio-demographic factors to develop greater biological understanding of severe COVID-19 outcomes.

SUBMITTER: Crossfield SSR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9278202 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Interplay between demographic, clinical and polygenic risk factors for severe COVID-19.

Crossfield Samantha S R SSR   Chaddock Natalie J M NJM   Iles Mark M MM   Pujades-Rodriguez Mar M   Morgan Ann W AW  

International journal of epidemiology 20221001 5


<h4>Background</h4>We aimed to identify clinical, socio-demographic and genetic risk factors for severe COVID-19 (hospitalization, critical care admission or death) in the general population.<h4>Methods</h4>In this observational study, we identified 9560 UK Biobank participants diagnosed with COVID-19 during 2020. A polygenic risk score (PRS) for severe COVID-19 was derived and optimized using publicly available European and trans-ethnic COVID-19 genome-wide summary statistics. We estimated the  ...[more]

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