Correlation Between Sea-Level Rise and Aspects of Future Tropical Cyclone Activity in CMIP6 Models.

ABSTRACT: Future coastal flood hazard at many locations will be impacted by both tropical cyclone (TC) change and relative sea-level rise (SLR). Despite sea level and TC activity being influenced by common thermodynamic and dynamic climate variables, their future changes are generally considered independently. Here, we investigate correlations between SLR and TC change derived from simulations of 26 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models. We first explore correlations between SLR and TC activity by inference from two large-scale factors known to modulate TC activity: potential intensity (PI) and vertical wind shear. Under the high emissions SSP5-8.5, SLR is strongly correlated with PI change (positively) and vertical wind shear change (negatively) over much of the western North Atlanti

SUBMITTER: Lockwood JW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9285431 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature