Near-term ecological forecasting for dynamic aeroconservation of migratory birds.

ABSTRACT: Near-term ecological forecasting has the potential to mitigate negative impacts of human modifications on wildlife by directing efficient action through relevant and timely predictions. We used the U.S. avian migration system to highlight ecological forecasting applications for aeroconservation. We used millions of observations from 143 weather surveillance radars to construct and evaluate a migration forecasting system for nocturnal bird migration over the contiguous United States. We identified the number of nights of mitigation required to reduce the risk of aerial hazards to 50% of avian migrants passing a given area in spring and autumn based on dynamic forecasts of migration activity. We also investigated an alternative approach, that is, employing a fixed conservation strategy based

SUBMITTER: Horton KG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9290813 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature