Temporal and Spatial Analysis Techniques as Potential Tools for Combating the HIV Epidemic among Young Brazilian Amazonian People: An Ecological Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The main goal of this study was to analyze the HIV epidemic temporally and spatially among young people living in Pará, Brazil, from 2007 to 2018.

Methods

For the temporal analysis, we employed an integrated autoregression of moving averages model associated with the seasonal trend using the LOESS decomposition method, which allowed for predictions to be made. In the spatial analysis, the techniques of autocorrelation, spatial and spatio-temporal risk analysis, and geographically weighted regression were used.

Results

During the study period, there were 8143 notifications of HIV/AIDS cases. The temporal prediction indicated a trend of growth in the incidence rate in the 20-24-year-old group from January 2019 to December 2022 and a trend of stability in the

SUBMITTER: Pedroso AO 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9319365 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature