Planning for resilience: Incorporating scenario and model uncertainty and trade-offs when prioritizing management of climate refugia.

ABSTRACT: Climate change has become the greatest threat to the world's ecosystems. Locating and managing areas that contribute to the survival of key species under climate change is critical for the persistence of ecosystems in the future. Here, we identify 'Climate Priority' sites as coral reefs exposed to relatively low levels of climate stress that will be more likely to persist in the future. We present the first analysis of uncertainty in climate change scenarios and models, along with multiple objectives, in a marine spatial planning exercise and offer a comprehensive approach to incorporating uncertainty and trade-offs in any ecosystem. We first described each site using environmental characteristics that are associated with a higher chance of persistence (larval connectivity, hurricane influ

SUBMITTER: Chollett I 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9322576 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature