Response to COVID-19 during the Tokyo Olympic Games: Did we properly assess the risk?

ABSTRACT:

Background

The number of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases was expected to increase during the Tokyo Olympic Games because of the increased physical contact within and between the domestic population and international participants of the Games. The rapid rise of the Delta variant (B.1.617) in Japan meant that hosting the Olympic Games without any restrictions was likely to lead to an increase in cases. We aimed to quantitatively assess possible COVID-19 response strategies for the Olympic Games, comparing the prevalence of severe cases and the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths via scenario analysis.

Methods

We used a discrete-time deterministic compartmental model structured by age group. Parameters were calibrated using the age-stratified COVID-19 incidence data

SUBMITTER: Jung SM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9333999 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature