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ABSTRACT: Background
Cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities are highly prevalent among COVID-19 patients and are associated with worse outcomes.Hypothesis
We therefore investigated if established cardiovascular risk assessment models could efficiently predict adverse outcomes in COVID-19. Furthermore, we aimed to generate novel risk scores including various cardiovascular parameters for prediction of short- and midterm outcomes in COVID-19.Methods
We included 441 consecutive patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Patients were followed-up for 30 days after the hospital admission for all-cause mortality (ACM), venous/arterial thromboembolism, and mechanical ventilation. We further followed up the patients for post-COVID-19 syndrome for 6 months and occurrence of myocarditis, heart failure, acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and rhythm events in a 12-month follow-up. Discrimination performance of DAPT, GRACE 2.0, PARIS-CTE, PREDICT-STABLE, CHA2-DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED, PARIS-MB, PRECISE-DAPT scores for selected endpoints was evaluated by ROC-analysis.Results
Out of established risk assessment models, GRACE 2.0 score performed best in predicting combined endpoint and ACM. Risk assessment models including age, cardiovascular risk factors, echocardiographic parameters, and biomarkers, were generated and could successfully predict the combined endpoint, ACM, venous/arterial thromboembolism, need for mechanical ventilation, myocarditis, ACS, heart failure, and rhythm events. Prediction of post-COVID-19 syndrome was poor.Conclusion
Risk assessment models including age, laboratory parameters, cardiovascular risk factors, and echocardiographic parameters showed good discrimination performance for adverse short- and midterm outcomes in COVID-19 and outweighed discrimination performance of established cardiovascular risk assessment models.
SUBMITTER: Zdanyte M
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9350294 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Zdanyte Monika M Martus Peter P Nestele Jeremy J Bild Alexander A Mizera Lars L Glatthaar Andreas A Petersen Uribe Álvaro Á Emschermann Frederic F Henes Jessica-Kristin JK Geisler Tobias T Müller Karin K Gawaz Meinrad M Rath Dominik D
Clinical cardiology 20220705 9
<h4>Background</h4>Cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities are highly prevalent among COVID-19 patients and are associated with worse outcomes.<h4>Hypothesis</h4>We therefore investigated if established cardiovascular risk assessment models could efficiently predict adverse outcomes in COVID-19. Furthermore, we aimed to generate novel risk scores including various cardiovascular parameters for prediction of short- and midterm outcomes in COVID-19.<h4>Methods</h4>We included 441 consecutive ...[more]