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Testing for COVID-19 is Much More Effective When Performed Immediately Prior to Social Mixing.


ABSTRACT: Objective: To quantify the utility of RT-PCR and rapid antigen tests in preventing post-arrival transmission based on timing of the pre-departure test. Methods: We derived analytical expressions to compute post-arrival transmission when no test is performed, and when either an RT-PCR or any of 18 rapid antigen tests is performed at specified times before arrival. We determined the diagnostic sensitivity of the rapid antigen tests by propagating their RT-PCR percent positive agreement onto known RT-PCR diagnostic sensitivity. Results: Depending on the rapid antigen test used, conducting a rapid antigen test immediately before departure reduces post-arrival transmission between 37.4% (95% CrI: 28.2%-40.7%) and 46.7% (95% CrI:40.0%-49.3%), compared to a 31.1% (95% CrI: 26.3%-33.5%) reduction using an RT-PCR 12 h before arrival. Performance of each rapid antigen test differed by diagnostic sensitivity over the course of disease. However, these differences were smaller than those engendered by testing too early. Conclusion: Testing closer to arrival-ideally on the day of arrival-is more effective at reducing post-arrival transmission than testing earlier. Rapid antigen tests perform the best in this application due to their short turnaround time.

SUBMITTER: Wells CR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9363582 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Testing for COVID-19 is Much More Effective When Performed Immediately Prior to Social Mixing.

Wells Chad R CR   Gokcebel Senay S   Pandey Abhishek A   Galvani Alison P AP   Townsend Jeffrey P JP  

International journal of public health 20220727


<b>Objective:</b> To quantify the utility of RT-PCR and rapid antigen tests in preventing post-arrival transmission based on timing of the pre-departure test. <b>Methods:</b> We derived analytical expressions to compute post-arrival transmission when no test is performed, and when either an RT-PCR or any of 18 rapid antigen tests is performed at specified times before arrival. We determined the diagnostic sensitivity of the rapid antigen tests by propagating their RT-PCR percent positive agreeme  ...[more]

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