Housing starts and the associated wood products carbon storage by county by Shared Socioeconomic Pathway in the United States.

ABSTRACT: Harvested wood products found in the built environment are an important carbon sink, helping to mitigate climate change, and their trends in use are determined by economic and demographic factors, which vary spatially. Spatially detailed projections of construction and stored carbon are needed for industry and public decision making, including for appreciating trends in values at risk from catastrophic disturbances. We specify econometric models of single-family and multifamily housing starts by U.S. Census Region, design a method for their spatial downscaling to the county level, and project their quantities and carbon content according to the five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Starts are projected to decline across all scenarios and potentially drop to below housing replacement l

SUBMITTER: Prestemon JP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9371325 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature