Dynamic COVID risk assessment accounting for community virus exposure from a spatial-temporal transmission model.

ABSTRACT: COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented negative impacts on our society, including further exposing inequity and disparity in public health. To study the impact of socioeconomic factors on COVID transmission, we first propose a spatial-temporal model to examine the socioeconomic heterogeneity and spatial correlation of COVID-19 transmission at the community level. Second, to assess the individual risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes after a positive diagnosis, we propose a dynamic, varying-coefficient model that integrates individual-level risk factors from electronic health records (EHRs) with community-level risk factors. The underlying neighborhood prevalence of infections (both symptomatic and pre-symptomatic) predicted from the previous spatial-temporal model is included in the individ

SUBMITTER: Chen Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9394187 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature