The effect of climate change on Arcto-Tertiary Mexican beech forests: Exploring their past, present, and future distribution.

ABSTRACT: Fagus mexicana Martínez (Mexican beech) is an endangered Arcto-Tertiary Geoflora tree species that inhabit isolated and fragmented tropical montane cloud forests in eastern Mexico. Exploring past, present, and future climate change effects on the distribution of Mexican beech involves the study of spatial ecology and temporal patterns to develop conservation plans. These are key to understanding the niche conservatism of other forest communities with similar environmental requirements. For this study, we used species distribution models by combining occurrence records, to assess the distribution patterns and changes of the past (Last Glacial Maximum), present (1981-2010), and future (2040-2070) periods under two climate scenarios (SSP 3-7.0 & SSP 5-8.5). Next, we determined the habi

SUBMITTER: Ames-Martinez FN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9395944 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature