CALMS: Modelling the long-term health and economic impact of Covid-19 using agent-based simulation.

ABSTRACT: We present our agent-based CoronAvirus Lifelong Modelling and Simulation (CALMS) model that aspires to predict the lifelong impacts of Covid-19 on the health and economy of a population. CALMS considers individual characteristics as well as comorbidities in calculating the risk of infection and severe disease. We conduct two sets of experiments aiming at demonstrating the validity and capabilities of CALMS. We run simulations retrospectively and validate the model outputs against hospitalisations, ICU admissions and fatalities in a UK population for the period between March and September 2020. We then run simulations for the lifetime of the cohort applying a variety of targeted intervention strategies and compare their effectiveness against the baseline scenario where no intervention is ap

SUBMITTER: Mintram K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9423607 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature