Habitat loss exacerbates pathogen spread: An Agent-based model of avian influenza infection in migratory waterfowl.

ABSTRACT: Habitat availability determines the distribution of migratory waterfowl along their flyway, which further influences the transmission and spatial spread of avian influenza viruses (AIVs). The extensive habitat loss in the East Asian-Australasian Flyway (EAAF) may have potentially altered the virus spread and transmission, but those consequences are rarely studied. We constructed 6 fall migration networks that differed in their level of habitat loss, wherein an increase in habitat loss resulted in smaller networks with fewer sites and links. We integrated an agent-based model and a susceptible-infected-recovered model to simulate waterfowl migration and AIV transmission. We found that extensive habitat loss in the EAAF can 1) relocate the outbreaks northwards, responding to the distribution

SUBMITTER: Yin S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9426877 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature