Simulating the effects of mobility restrictions in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in metropolitan areas in Portugal.

ABSTRACT: Commuting flows and long-distance travel are important spreading factors of viruses and particularly airborne ones. Therefore, it is relevant to examine the association among diverse mobility scenarios and the spatial dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 cases. We intended to analyze the patterns of virus spreading linked to different mobility scenarios, in order to better comprehend the effect of the lockdown measures, and how such measures can be better informed. We simulated the effects of mobility restrictions in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 amongst the municipalities of two metropolitan areas, Lisbon (LMA) and Porto (PMA). Based on an adapted SEIR (Suscetible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) model, we estimated the number of new daily infections during one year, according to different mobility scenarios:

SUBMITTER: Oliveira S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9462718 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature