Methods for modelling excess mortality across England during the COVID-19 pandemic.

ABSTRACT: Excess mortality is an important measure of the scale of the coronavirus-2019 pandemic. It includes both deaths caused directly by the pandemic, and deaths caused by the unintended consequences of containment such as delays to accessing care or postponements of healthcare provision in the population. In 2020 and 2021, in England, multiple groups have produced measures of excess mortality during the pandemic. This paper describes the data and methods used in five different approaches to estimating excess mortality and compares their estimates.The fundamental principles of estimating excess mortality are described, as well as the key commonalities and differences between five approaches. Two of these are based on the date of registration: a quasi-Poisson model with offset and a 5-year averag

SUBMITTER: Barnard S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9465060 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature