Projections of heatwave-attributable mortality under climate change and future population scenarios in China.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In China, most previous projections of heat-related mortality have been based on modeling studies using global climate models (GCMs), which can help to elucidate the risks of extreme heat events in a changing climate. However, spatiotemporal changes in the health effects of climate change considering specific regional characteristics remain poorly understood. We aimed to use credible climate and population projections to estimate future heatwave-attributable deaths under different emission scenarios and to explore the drivers underlying these patterns of changes.

Methods

We derived climate data from a regional climate model driven by three CMIP5 GCM models and calculated future heatwaves in China under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6, RCP4.5, and RC

SUBMITTER: Chen H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9465423 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature