Hindcast-validated species distribution models reveal future vulnerabilities of mangroves and salt marsh species.

ABSTRACT: Rapid climate change is threatening biodiversity via habitat loss, range shifts, increases in invasive species, novel species interactions, and other unforeseen changes. Coastal and estuarine species are especially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to sea level rise and may be severely impacted in the next several decades. Species distribution modeling can project the potential future distributions of species under scenarios of climate change using bioclimatic data and georeferenced occurrence data. However, models projecting suitable habitat into the future are impossible to ground truth. One solution is to develop species distribution models for the present and project them to periods in the recent past where distributions are known to test model performance before making p

SUBMITTER: Hodel RGJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9484403 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature