COVID-19 in Africa: Underreporting, demographic effect, chaotic dynamics, and mitigation strategy impact.

ABSTRACT: The epidemic of COVID-19 has shown different developments in Africa compared to the other continents. Three different approaches were used in this study to analyze this situation. In the first part, basic statistics were performed to estimate the contribution of the elderly people to the total numbers of cases and deaths in comparison to the other continents; Similarly, the health systems capacities were analysed to assess the level of underreporting. In the second part, differential equations were reconstructed from the epidemiological time series of cases and deaths (from the John Hopkins University) to analyse the dynamics of COVID-19 in seventeen countries. In the third part, the time evolution of the contact number was reconstructed since the beginning of the outbreak to investigate t

SUBMITTER: Thenon N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9518880 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature