Dataset Information

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe.

ABSTRACT: The impacts and threats posed by wildfires are dramatically increasing due to climate change. In recent years, the wildfire community has attempted to estimate wildfire occurrence with machine learning models. However, to fully exploit the potential of these models, it is of paramount importance to make their predictions interpretable and intelligible. This study is a first attempt to provide an eXplainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework for estimating wildfire occurrence using a Random Forest model with Shapley values for interpretation. Our findings accurately detected regions with a high presence of wildfires (area under the curve 81.3%) and outlined the drivers empowering occurrence, such as the Fire Weather Index and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Furthermore, our analysis suggests the presence of anomalous hotspots. In contexts where human and natural spheres constantly intermingle and interact, the XAI framework, suitably integrated into decision support systems, could support forest managers to prevent and mitigate future wildfire disasters and develop strategies for effective fire management, response, recovery, and resilience.

SUBMITTER: Cilli R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9523070 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe.

Cilli Roberto R Elia Mario M D'Este Marina M Giannico Vincenzo V Amoroso Nicola N Lombardi Angela A Pantaleo Ester E Monaco Alfonso A Sanesi Giovanni G Tangaro Sabina S Bellotti Roberto R Lafortezza Raffaele R

Scientific reports 20220929 1

The impacts and threats posed by wildfires are dramatically increasing due to climate change. In recent years, the wildfire community has attempted to estimate wildfire occurrence with machine learning models. However, to fully exploit the potential of these models, it is of paramount importance to make their predictions interpretable and intelligible. This study is a first attempt to provide an eXplainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework for estimating wildfire occurrence using a Random ...[more]

PMID: 36175583

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Dataset Information

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe.

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Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) detects wildfire occurrence in the Mediterranean countries of Southern Europe.

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