An analysis of cigarette sales during Poland's menthol cigarette sales ban: small effects with large policy implications.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In May 2020, the European Union Tobacco Products Directive mandated that EU member states, including Poland, ban the sale of menthol cigarettes. With menthol making up 28% of cigarette sales before the ban, Poland is the country with likely the largest menthol cigarette sales share in the world to ban their sale. We analyze how this ban changed the Polish tobacco market.

Methods

We use monthly NielsenIQ data (May 2018-April 2021) on sales of cigarettes and roll-your-own tobacco by menthol and standard flavor in eight regions of Poland. We set up a bite-style regression model controlling for pre-ban menthol share, climate, border opening status, and Apple movement data to estimate the effect of the May 2020 menthol ban.

Results

We find menthol cigarette sale

SUBMITTER: Liber AC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9527965 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature