Performance of predictive models of survival in horses undergoing emergency exploratory laparotomy for colic.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To evaluate previously published predictive survival models in a population of horses undergoing colic surgery in the midwestern United States.

Study design

Retrospective cohort study; single referral hospital.

Animals

A total of 260 horses met the inclusion criteria.

Methods

Medical records of horses undergoing surgical treatment for colic were reviewed. Previously published models were applied to cohort data to predict outcome. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy for prediction of short-term survival were calculated.

Results

Single-variable and multivariable models performed similarly for prediction of survival, with a mean 79% sensitivity (range: 44%-94%), 48% specificity (

SUBMITTER: Bishop RC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9545965 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature