Dataset Information

CHA2DS2-VASC Score Predicts the Risk of Stroke in Patients Hospitalized to the Internal Medicine Department Without Known Atrial Fibrillation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The CHA2DS2-VASC score is used to assess the risk of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL).

Objectives

We aimed to determine whether this score can determine the risk of CVA during the first year after hospitalization, in patients without known AF/AFL.

Design

Single-center retrospective cohort.

Patients

We included all patients aged ≥ 50 who were hospitalized between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2018, to the internal medicine departments at the Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Israel. Exclusion criteria included history or new diagnosis of CVA, TIA, and AF/AFL and use of anticoagulation at any time.

Main measures

Patients were stratified into 3 groups according to their CHA2DS2-VASC score (0-1, 2, or ≥ 3). The primary outcome was hospitalization with CVA/TIA within one year of the index hospitalization.

Key results

Of the patients, 52,206 were included in the study. CVA/TIA occurred in 0.7%, 1.3%, and 1.7% of patients with a CHA2DS2-VASC score of 0-1, 2, and ≥ 3, respectively. Compared to a CHA2DS2-VASC score of 0-1, the HR for CVA/TIA occurrence for CHA2DS2-VASC scores of 2 and ≥ 3 was 1.77 (CI 1.42, 2.22) and 2.33 (CI 1.9, 2.85), respectively (p < 0.001 for both comparisons). Each additional CHA2DS2-VASC point increased the probability for readmission with CVA/TIA within 1-year by 26% (HR 1.26, CI 1.19, 1.32, p < 0.001). Similar trends were seen in subgroup analyses by gender, age, and renal function.

Conclusions

The CHA2DS2-VASC score is a predictor for CVA/TIA during the first year after hospitalization in patients without AF. High CHA2DS2-VASC scores warrant work-up for occult AF/AFL and other risk factors for CVA/TIA.

SUBMITTER: Lahad K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9550949 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

CHA2DS2-VASC Score Predicts the Risk of Stroke in Patients Hospitalized to the Internal Medicine Department Without Known Atrial Fibrillation.

Lahad Karney K Maor Elad E Klempfner Robert R Grossman Chagai C Druyan Amit A Ben-Zvi Ilan I

Journal of general internal medicine 20220527 13

<h4>Background</h4>The CHA2DS2-VASC score is used to assess the risk of cerebrovascular accident (CVA) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL).<h4>Objectives</h4>We aimed to determine whether this score can determine the risk of CVA during the first year after hospitalization, in patients without known AF/AFL.<h4>Design</h4>Single-center retrospective cohort.<h4>Patients</h4>We included all patients aged ≥ 50 who were hospitalized between January 1, 2008, and December 3 ...[more]

PMID: 35622270

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Project description:ImportanceCurrent guidelines support treating atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) as equivalent risk factors for ischemic stroke stratified by CHA2DS2-VASc scores, recommending anticoagulation therapy for patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 or higher, but some studies found differences in clinical outcomes.ObjectiveTo investigate differences in clinical outcomes among AF, AFL, and matched control cohorts.Design, setting, and participantsThis nationwide cohort study analyzed data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database from January 1, 2001, through December 31, 2012. Follow-up and data analysis ended December 31, 2012. A total of 219 416 age- and sex-matched individuals participated in the study. Clinical outcomes were compared after stratification by CHA2DS2-VASc score (possible score range, 0-9; higher scores indicate greater risk of ischemic stroke).Main outcomes and measuresIschemic stroke, heart failure hospitalization, and all-cause mortality among the AF, AFL, and matched control cohorts were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression.ResultsThis study comprised 188 811 patients in the AF cohort (mean [SD] age, 73.8 [13.4] years; 104 703 [55.5%] male), 6121 patients in the AFL cohort (mean [SD] age, 67.7 [15.8] years; 3735 [61.0%] male), and 24 484 patients in the matched control cohort (mean [SD] age, 67.3 [15.6] years; 14 940 [61.0%] male). The patients with AF were older, were more predominantly female, and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores than the patients with AFL and the control participants. After stratification by CHA2DS2-VASc score, the incidence densities (IDs; events per 100 person-years) of ischemic stroke (AF cohort: ID, 3.08; 95% CI, 3.03-3.13; AFL cohort: ID, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.62; controls: ID, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.92-1.03), heart failure hospitalization (AF cohort: ID, 3.39; 95% CI, 3.34-3.44; AFL cohort: ID, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.39-1.74; controls: ID, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.29-0.35), and all-cause mortality (AF cohort: ID, 17.8; 95% CI, 17.7-17.9; AFL cohort: ID, 13.9; 95% CI, 13.4-14.4; controls: ID, 4.2; 95% CI, 4.1-4.4) were significantly higher in the AF cohort than in the matched control cohort. For the AFL cohort vs the matched control cohort, the incidences of heart failure hospitalization and all-cause mortality were significantly higher across all levels, but the incidence of ischemic stroke was only significantly higher at CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 5 to 9. For the AF cohort vs the AFL cohort, the incidences of ischemic stroke and heart failure hospitalization were significantly higher at a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 or higher, but the incidence of all-cause mortality was significantly higher only at CHA2DS2-VASc scores of 1 to 3.Conclusions and relevanceThis study found different clinical outcomes between patients with AFL and AF and those without AF and AFL. The current recommended level of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in preventing ischemic stroke in patients with AFL should be reevaluated.

Project description:AimsThe GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score are developed for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome and AF, respectively. We aimed to assess the predictive performance of the GRACE score and CHA2DS2-VASc score among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).MethodsConsecutive patients with a diagnosis of AF admitted to our hospital for PCI between January 2016 and December 2018 were included and followed up for at least 1 year. The primary endpoint was a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) including all-cause mortality, repeat revascularization, myocardial infarction, or ischaemic stroke.ResultsA total of 1452 patients were identified. Cox regression demonstrated that the GRACE (HR 1.014, 95% CI 1.008-1.020, p < 0.001) but not the CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with the risk of MACEs. Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were predictive of all-cause mortality with HR of 1.028 (95% CI 1.020-1.037, p < 0.001) and 1.334 (95% CI 1.107-1.632, p = 0.003). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed both scores had similar discrimination capacity for all-cause mortality (C-statistic: 0.708 for GRACE vs. 0.661 for CHA2DS2-VASc, p = 0.299). High GRACE score was also significantly associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke (HR 1.018, 95% CI 1.005-1.031, p = 0.006) and major bleeding (HR 1.012, 95% CI 1.001-1.024, p = 0.039), whereas high CHA2DS2-VASc score was not.ConclusionsHigh GRACE score but not CHA2DS2-VASc score were both associated with an increased risk of MACEs after PCI in patients with AF. The GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have similar predictive performance for predicting all-cause mortality.Key messages:In patients with AF undergoing PCI, increasing GRACE but not CHA2DS2-VASc scores was independently associated high risk of MACEs.The GRACE score could also help identify patients at higher risk of stroke and major bleeding.Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores showed good ability in the prediction of all-cause mortality.

Project description:Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased mortality, predictors of which are poorly characterized. We investigated the predictive power of the commonly used CHA2DS2-VASc score (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years [doubled], diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack/thromboembolism [doubled], vascular disease [prior myocardial infarction, peripheral artery disease, or aortic plaque], age 65-75 years, sex category [female]), the HAS-BLED score (hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, labile international normalized ratio [INR], elderly [age ≥ 65 years], drugs/alcohol concomitantly), and their combination for mortality in AF patients. The PREvention oF thromboembolic events-European Registry in Atrial Fibrillation (PREFER in AF) was a prospective registry including AF patients across seven European countries. We used logistic regression to analyze the relationship between the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores and outcomes, including mortality, at one year. We evaluated the performance of logistic regression models by discrimination measures (C-index and DeLong test) and calibration measures (Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), with bootstrap techniques for internal validation. In 5209 AF patients with complete information on both scores, average one-year mortality was 3.1%. We found strong gradients between stroke/systemic embolic events (SSE), major bleeding and-specifically-mortality for both CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, with a similar C-statistic for event prediction. The predictive power of the models with both scores combined, removing overlapping components, was significantly enhanced (p < 0.01) compared to models including either CHA2DS2-VASc or HAS-BLED alone: for mortality, C-statistic: 0.740, compared to 0.707 for CHA2DS2-VASc or 0.646 for HAS-BLED alone. IDI analyses supported the significant improvement for the combined score model compared to separate score models for all outcomes. Both the CHA2DS2-VASc and the HAS-BLED scores predict mortality similarly in patients with AF, and a combination of their components increases prediction significantly. Such combination may be useful for investigational and-possibly-also clinical purposes.

Dataset Information

CHA2DS2-VASC Score Predicts the Risk of Stroke in Patients Hospitalized to the Internal Medicine Department Without Known Atrial Fibrillation.

Background

Objectives

Design

Patients

Main measures

Key results

Conclusions

Publications

CHA2DS2-VASC Score Predicts the Risk of Stroke in Patients Hospitalized to the Internal Medicine Department Without Known Atrial Fibrillation.

Similar Datasets

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