Estimated projection of oral cavity and oropharyngeal cancer deaths in Spain to 2044

ABSTRACT:

Background

Oral cavity cancer (OCC) and oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) are two common malignancies whose mortality is worryingly increasing worldwide. However, few studies have estimated the mortality trends for these cancers in the coming years. This study analysed the mortality rates for OCC and OPC observed between 1980 and 2019 to generate a predictive model for the next 25 years in Spain.

Methods

Mid-year population data and death certificates for the period 1980–2019 were obtained from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics. The Nordpred program (Norwegian Cancer Registry, Oslo, Norway) was used to calculate adjusted mortality rates as well as estimated mortality projections with an age-period-cohort model for the period 2020–2044.

Results

The specific mo

SUBMITTER: Infante-Cossio P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9563172 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature