Dataset Information

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Recent reviews summarize evidence that some vaccines have heterologous or non-specific effects (NSE), potentially offering protection against multiple pathogens. Numerous economic evaluations examine vaccines' pathogen-specific effects, but less than a handful focus on NSE. This paper addresses that gap by reporting economic evaluations of the NSE of oral polio vaccine (OPV) against under-five mortality and COVID-19.

Materials and methods

We studied two settings: (1) reducing child mortality in a high-mortality setting (Guinea-Bissau) and (2) preventing COVID-19 in India. In the former, the intervention involves three annual campaigns in which children receive OPV incremental to routine immunization. In the latter, a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model was developed to estimate the population benefits of two scenarios, in which OPV would be co-administered alongside COVID-19 vaccines. Incremental cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost ratios were modeled for ranges of intervention effectiveness estimates to supplement the headline numbers and account for heterogeneity and uncertainty.

Results

For child mortality, headline cost-effectiveness was $650 per child death averted. For COVID-19, assuming OPV had 20% effectiveness, incremental cost per death averted was $23,000-65,000 if it were administered simultaneously with a COVID-19 vaccine <200 days into a wave of the epidemic. If the COVID-19 vaccine availability were delayed, the cost per averted death would decrease to $2600-6100. Estimated benefit-to-cost ratios vary but are consistently high.

Discussion

Economic evaluation suggests the potential of OPV to efficiently reduce child mortality in high mortality environments. Likewise, within a broad range of assumed effect sizes, OPV (or another vaccine with NSE) could play an economically attractive role against COVID-19 in countries facing COVID-19 vaccine delays.

Funding

The contribution by DTJ was supported through grants from Trond Mohn Foundation (BFS2019MT02) and Norad (RAF-18/0009) through the Bergen Center for Ethics and Priority Setting.

SUBMITTER: Chang AY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9580701 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19.

Chang Angela Y AY Aaby Peter P Avidan Michael S MS Benn Christine S CS Bertozzi Stefano M SM Blatt Lawrence L Chumakov Konstantin K Khader Shabaana A SA Kottilil Shyam S Nekkar Madhav M Netea Mihai G MG Sparrow Annie A Jamison Dean T DT

Frontiers in public health 20221005

<h4>Introduction</h4>Recent reviews summarize evidence that some vaccines have heterologous or non-specific effects (NSE), potentially offering protection against multiple pathogens. Numerous economic evaluations examine vaccines' pathogen-specific effects, but less than a handful focus on NSE. This paper addresses that gap by reporting economic evaluations of the NSE of oral polio vaccine (OPV) against under-five mortality and COVID-19.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>We studied two settings: (1) ...[more]

PMID: 36276367

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Project description:BackgroundMother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is an important global health issue. We hypothesized that the live attenuated poliovirus existing in oral polio vaccine (OPV) may protect uninfected neonates born to HIV-positive mothers through the stimulation of innate immune system.ObjectiveTo test the hypothesis that countries using OPV have a lower MTCT rate (due to postnatal protection provided by the vaccine) compared with those using only inactivated polio vaccine (IPV).MethodsIn an ecological study, the incidence of HIV/AIDS in children aged <1 year (IncHIV1), considered a surrogate index for MTCT rate, was compared between countries using OPV vs. IPV. The aggregated population data were retrieved for 204 countries from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2019) Collaborative Network website, "Our World in Data" website, the World Bank website, and the WHO Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI). We used a negative binomial regression model with IncHIV1 as the dependent variable and the prevalence of HIV/AIDS in women aged 15-49 years (PrevHIV), antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, human development index (HDI), and the type of vaccine used in each country as independent variables. Multivariate imputation by chained equations was used to treat missing values. Analyses were performed for both the original dataset (with missing values) and the five imputed datasets.ResultsIncHIV1 and PrevHIV were available for all 204 countries; vaccine type, 194 countries; HDI, 182 countries; and ART coverage, 133 countries. One-hundred and twenty-nine countries in the original dataset had complete data for all the above-mentioned variables; the imputed datasets had complete data for all 204 countries. The results obtained from the analysis of the original dataset had no overall difference with the pooled results obtained from the analysis of the five imputed datasets. Countries with higher HDI mainly use IPV; those with lower HDI commonly use OPV. PrevHIV, HDI, and the type of vaccine were independent predictors of IncHIV1. Use of OPV compared to IPV, was independently associated with an average decrease of 17% in IncHIV1 at the median HDI of 0.75. The protection provided by OPV increased in countries with lower HDI.ConclusionsUse of OPV compared with IPV, was independently associated with lower MTCT rate.

Project description:The oral polio vaccine (OPV) contains live-attenuated polioviruses that induce immunity by causing low virulence infections in vaccine recipients and their close contacts. Widespread immunization with OPV has reduced the annual global burden of paralytic poliomyelitis by a factor of 10,000 or more and has driven wild poliovirus (WPV) to the brink of eradication. However, in instances that have so far been rare, OPV can paralyze vaccine recipients and generate vaccine-derived polio outbreaks. To complete polio eradication, OPV use should eventually cease, but doing so will leave a growing population fully susceptible to infection. If poliovirus is reintroduced after OPV cessation, under what conditions will OPV vaccination be required to interrupt transmission? Can conditions exist in which OPV and WPV reintroduction present similar risks of transmission? To answer these questions, we built a multi-scale mathematical model of infection and transmission calibrated to data from clinical trials and field epidemiology studies. At the within-host level, the model describes the effects of vaccination and waning immunity on shedding and oral susceptibility to infection. At the between-host level, the model emulates the interaction of shedding and oral susceptibility with sanitation and person-to-person contact patterns to determine the transmission rate in communities. Our results show that inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) is sufficient to prevent outbreaks in low transmission rate settings and that OPV can be reintroduced and withdrawn as needed in moderate transmission rate settings. However, in high transmission rate settings, the conditions that support vaccine-derived outbreaks have only been rare because population immunity has been high. Absent population immunity, the Sabin strains from OPV will be nearly as capable of causing outbreaks as WPV. If post-cessation outbreak responses are followed by new vaccine-derived outbreaks, strategies to restore population immunity will be required to ensure the stability of polio eradication.

Project description:BackgroundEffective response to emerging pandemic threats is complicated by the need to develop specific vaccines and other medical products. The availability of broadly specific countermeasures that could be deployed early in the pandemic could significantly alter its course and save countless lives. Live attenuated vaccines (LAVs) were shown to induce non-specific protection against a broad spectrum of off-target pathogens by stimulating innate immune responses. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of immunization with bivalent Oral Poliovirus Vaccine (bOPV) on the incidence of COVID-19 and other acute respiratory infections (ARIs).Methods and findingsA randomized parallel-group comparative study was conducted in Kirov Medical University. 1115 healthy volunteers aged 18 to 65 were randomized into two equal groups, one of which was immunized orally with a single dose of bOPV "BiVac Polio" and another with placebo. The study participants were monitored for three months for respiratory illnesses including COVID-19. The endpoint was the incidence of acute respiratory infections and laboratory confirmed COVID-19 in both groups during 3 months after immunization. The number of laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 was significantly lower in the vaccinated group than in placebo (25 cases vs. 44, p=0.036). The difference between the overall number of clinically diagnosed respiratory illnesses in the two groups was not statistically significant.ConclusionsImmunization with bOPV reduced the number of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases, consistent with the original hypothesis that LAVs induce non-specific protection against off-target infections. The findings are in line with previous observations of the protective effects of OPV against seasonal influenza and other viral and bacterial pathogens. The absence of a statistically significant effect on the total number of ARIs may be due to the insufficient number of participants and heterogeneous etiology of ARIs. OPV could be used to complement specific coronavirus vaccines, especially in regions of the world where the vaccines are unavailable, and as a stopgap measure for urgent response to future emerging infections. Clinical trial registration number NCT05083039 at clinicaltrals.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05083039?term=NCT05083039&draw=2&rank=1.

Dataset Information

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19.

Introduction

Materials and methods

Results

Discussion

Funding

Publications

One vaccine to counter many diseases? Modeling the economics of oral polio vaccine against child mortality and COVID-19.

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