The Possible Impact of Nationwide Vaccination on Outcomes of the COVID-19 Epidemic in North Korea: A Modelling Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) had successfully suppressed the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic via border closures. However, a rapid surge in incidence was reported due to the spread of the omicron variant (B.1.1.529), leading to a national emergency declaration in May 2022. Moreover, with the lack of vaccine accessibility and medical facilities, it is unclear how the disease burden may be exacerbated. Despite the limited epidemiological data, we aimed to project the COVID-19 transmissions in North Korea and quantify the potential impact of nationwide vaccination, comparing epidemiological outcomes via scenario analysis.

Methods

A discrete-time deterministic compartmental model was used. The parameters were calibrated using em

SUBMITTER: Jung SM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9592938 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature