Dataset Information

System Dynamic Model Simulates the Growth Trend of Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Population: Implications for Future Urban Public Health Governance.

ABSTRACT: Objectives: To simulate the growth trend of diabetes mellitus in Chinese population. Methods: The system dynamic modeling methodology was used to establish a population prediction model of diabetes with or without cardiovascular diseases. Lifestyle therapy and the use of metformin, acarbose, and voglibose were assumed to be intervention strategy. The outcomes will be examined at 5, 15, and 30 years after 2020. Results: The projected number of diabetic population in China would increase rapidly from 141.65 million in 2020 to 202.84 million in 2050. Diabetic patients with cardiovascular disease would rapidly increase from 65.58 million in 2020 to 122.88 million by 2050. The annual cost for the entire population with diabetes mellitus in China would reach 182.55 billion by 2050. When the treatment of cardiovascular disease was considered, expenditure was 1.5-2.5-fold higher. Lifestyle therapy and the use of metformin, acarbose and voglibose could effectively slow the growth of the diabetic population. Conclusion: The diabetic population in China is expected to increase rapidly, and diabetic patients with cardiovascular disease will increase greatly. Interventions could delay it.

SUBMITTER: Li H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9691669 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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System Dynamic Model Simulates the Growth Trend of Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Population: Implications for Future Urban Public Health Governance.

Li Hao H Chang Guo-Ying GY Jiang Yi-Hong YH Xu Li L Shen Long L Gu Zhi-Chun ZC Lin Hou-Wen HW Shi Fang-Hong FH

International journal of public health 20221111

Objectives: To simulate the growth trend of diabetes mellitus in Chinese population. Methods: The system dynamic modeling methodology was used to establish a population prediction model of diabetes with or without cardiovascular diseases. Lifestyle therapy and the use of metformin, acarbose, and voglibose were assumed to be intervention strategy. The outcomes will be examined at 5, 15, and 30 years after 2020. Results: The projected number of diabetic population in China wou ...[more]

PMID: 36439277

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Project description:Objective: Given that positive psychological capital motivates citizens to actively participate in social affairs, this study aims to provide insight into food safety risk management in China by empirically determining which individual characteristics are associated with positive psychological capital for actively participating in social co-governance. Methods: A questionnaire-based survey was undertaken between December 5 and 10, 2020. The study participants were residents of Wuxi in China over the age of 18 years. A validated and pretested questionnaires was used to elicit responses with the participants. Student's t-test and one-way analysis of variance were performed to determine which individual characteristics are significantly correlated with the psychological capital of citizens who participate in co-governance. Post-hoc multiple comparisons were performed for each individual characteristic with a significant correlation to determine which categories of these characteristics yielded the significant differences. Study data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics 24.0. Results: A total of 752 completed responses were received. Most respondents were females (52.39%), aged 26-45 (66.09%), married (70.48%), company employees (44.28%), and in good health (89.76%). Most had a household size of 3 (55.98%), a bachelor's degree (40.96%), a personal annual income of more than 100,000 yuan (26.46%), and no children aged under 18 (50.27%) or pregnant women (93.22%) in their households. Data analysis indicated that education, income, and health status significantly associate with the psychological capital of citizens to participate in co-governance. Citizens with high education, high income, and good health status have higher psychological capital to participate in co-governance. Conclusion: The present study suggested citizens are likely to actively participate in food safety social co-governance only when they have at least one of the following three characteristics: (1) higher than average income in their city of residence; (2) a bachelor's degree or higher education; or (3) good health. Therefore, motivating citizens to participate in co-governance is a long-term process in China. The fundamental strategy is to increase the income of citizens, especially among low-income groups, promote education to improve the food safety literacy of the public, and improve sanitation and public health.

Dataset Information

System Dynamic Model Simulates the Growth Trend of Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Population: Implications for Future Urban Public Health Governance.

Publications

System Dynamic Model Simulates the Growth Trend of Diabetes Mellitus in Chinese Population: Implications for Future Urban Public Health Governance.

Similar Datasets

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