Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Meteo-Climatic Determinants of Visceral Leishmaniasis in Italy.

ABSTRACT: Historically, visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in Italy was constrained to Mediterranean areas. However, in the last 20 years, sand fly vectors and human cases of VL have been detected in northern Italy, traditionally classified as a cold area unsuitable for sand fly survival. We aim to study the spatio-temporal pattern and climatic determinants of VL incidence in Italy. National Hospital Discharge Register records were used to identify incident cases of VL between 2009 and 2016. Incident rates were computed for each year (N = 8) and for each province (N = 110). Data on mean temperature and cumulative precipitation were obtained from the ERA5-Land re-analysis. Age- and sex-standardized incidence rates were modeled with Bayesian spatial and spatio-temporal conditional autoregressive Poisson mode

SUBMITTER: Moirano G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9694427 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature