Meteorological indicators of dengue epidemics in non-endemic Northwest Argentina.

ABSTRACT: In the last two decades dengue cases increased significantly throughout the world, giving place to more frequent outbreaks in Latin America. In the non-endemic city of San Ramón de la Nueva Orán, located in Northwest Argentina, large dengue outbreaks alternate with several years of smaller ones. This pattern, as well as the understanding of the underlying mechanisms, could be essential to design proper strategies to reduce epidemic size. We develop a stochastic model that includes climate variables, social structure, and mobility between a non-endemic city and an endemic area. Climatic variables were input of a mosquito population ecological model, which in turn was coupled to a meta-population, spatially explicit, epidemiological model. Human mobility was included into the model given the

SUBMITTER: Gutierrez JA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9709237 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature