Number Needed to Treat in Trials of Targeted Therapies for Advanced Ovarian Cancer.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Bartoletti M
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9719047 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Number Needed to Treat in Trials of Targeted Therapies for Advanced Ovarian Cancer.
Bartoletti Michele M Pignata Sandro S Lorusso Domenica D Perrone Francesco F Zara Diego D Puglisi Fabio F
JAMA network open 20221201 12
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Project description:Clinicians are expected to select a therapy based on their appraisal of evidence on benefit-to-risk profiles of therapies. In the management of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), evidence is typically expressed in terms of risk (proportion) of event, risk reduction, relative and hazard rate reduction, or relative reduction in the mean number of magnetic resonance imaging lesions. Interpreting treatment effect using these measures from a RRMS clinical trial is fairly reliable; however, this might not be the case when treatment effect is expressed in terms of the number needed to treat (NNT). The objective of this review is to discuss the utility of NNT in RRMS trials. This article presents an overview of the methodological definition and characteristics of NNT as well as the relative merit of NNT use in RRMS controlled clinical trials, where endpoints are typically time-to-event and frequency of recurrent events. The authors caution against using NNT in multiple sclerosis, a clinically heterogeneous disease that can change course and severity unpredictably. The authors also caution against the use of NNT to interpret results in comparative trials where the absolute risk difference is not statistically significant, computing NNT using the time-to-event endpoint at intermediate time points, computing NNT using the annualized relapse rate, and comparing NNT across trials.
| S-EPMC5447556 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundWe propose a new measure of treatment effect based on the expected reduction in the number of patients to treat (RNT) which is defined as the difference of the reciprocals of clinical measures of interest between two arms. Compared with the conventional number needed to treat (NNT), RNT shows superiority with both binary and time-to-event endpoints in randomized controlled trials (RCTs).MethodsFive real RCTs, two with binary endpoints and three with survival endpoints, are used to illustrate the concept of RNT and compare the performances between RNT and NNT. For survival endpoints, we propose two versions of RNT: one is based on the survival rate and the other is based on the restricted mean survival time (RMST). Hypothetical scenarios are also constructed to explore the advantages and disadvantages of RNT and NNT.ResultsBecause there is no baseline for computation of NNT, it fails to differentiate treatment effect in the absolute scale. In contrast, RNT conveys more information than NNT due to its reversed order of differencing and inverting. For survival endpoints, two versions of RNT calculated as the difference of the reciprocals of survival rates and RMSTs are complementary to each other. The RMST-based RNT can capture the entire follow-up profile and thus is clinically more intuitive and meaningful, as it inherits the time-to-event characteristics for survival endpoints instead of using truncated binary endpoints at a specific time point.ConclusionsThe RNT can serve as an alternative measure for quantifying treatment effect in RCTs, which complements NNT to help patients and clinicians better understand the magnitude of treatment benefit.
| S-EPMC7945324 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectivesThe primary objective was to assess the utility of the number needed to treat (NNT) to inform decision-making in the context of paediatric oncology and to calculate the NNT in all superiority, parallel, paediatric haematological cancer, randomised controlled trials (RCTs), with a comparison to the threshold NNT as a measure of clinical significance.DesignSystematic review DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE and the Cochrane Childhood Cancer Group Specialized Register through CENTRAL from inception to August 2018.Eligibility criteria for selecting studiesSuperiority, parallel RCTs of haematological malignancy treatments in paediatric patients that assessed an outcome related to survival, relapse or remission; reported a sample size calculation with a delta value to allow for calculation of the threshold NNT, and that included parameters required to calculate the NNT and associated CI.ResultsA total of 43 RCTs were included, representing 45 randomised questions, of which none reported the NNT. Among acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) RCTs, 29.2% (7/24) of randomised questions were found to have a NNT corresponding to benefit, in comparison to acute myeloid leukaemia (ALM) RCTs with 50% (3/6), and none in lymphoma RCTs (0/13). Only 28.6% (2/7) and 33.3% (1/3) had a NNT that was less than the threshold NNT for ALL and AML, respectively. Of these, 100% (2/2 ALL and 1/1 AML) were determined to be possibly clinically significant.ConclusionsWe recommend that decision-makers in paediatric oncology use the NNT and associated confidence limits as a supportive tool to evaluate evidence from RCTs while placing careful attention to the inherent limitations of this measure.
| S-EPMC6398916 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundWe aimed to identify somatic pathogenic and likely pathogenic mutations using next-generation sequencing (NGS). The mutational findings were held against clinically well-described data to identify potential targeted therapies in Danish patients diagnosed with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSC).MethodsWe characterized the mutational profile of 128 HGSC patients. Clinical data were obtained from the Danish Gynecological Database and tissue samples were collected through the Danish CancerBiobank. DNA was analyzed using NGS.Results47 (37%) patients were platinum-sensitive, 32 (25%) partially platinum-sensitive, 35 (27%) platinum-resistant, and three (2%) platinum-refractory, while 11 (9%) patients did not receive chemotherapy. Overall, 27 (21%) had known druggable targets. Twelve (26%) platinum-sensitive patients had druggable targets for PARP inhibitors: one for tyrosine kinase inhibitors and one for immunotherapy treatment. Eight (25%) partially platinum-sensitive patients had druggable targets: seven were eligible for PARP inhibitors and one was potentially eligible for alpesilib and hormone therapy. Seven (20%) platinum-resistant patients had druggable targets: six (86%) were potentially eligible for PARP inhibitors, one for immunotherapy, and one for erdafitinib.ConclusionsPARP inhibitors are the most frequent potential targeted therapy in HGSC. However, other targeted therapies remain relevant for investigation according to our mutational findings.
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Project description:Ovarian cancer presents at advanced stage in around 75% of women, and despite improvements in treatments such as chemotherapy, the 5-year survival from the disease in women diagnosed between 1996 and 1999 in England and Wales was only 36%. Over 80% of patients with advanced ovarian cancer will relapse and despite a good chance of remission from further chemotherapy, they will usually die from their disease. Sequential treatment strategies are employed to maximise quality and length of life but patients eventually become resistant to cytotoxic agents. The expansion in understanding of the molecular biology that characterises cancer cells has led to the rapid development of new agents to target important pathways but the heterogeneity of ovarian cancer biology means that there is no predominant defect. This review attempts to discuss progress to date in tackling a more general target applicable to ovary cancer-angiogenesis.
| S-EPMC3566823 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ObjectiveSchizophrenia clinical trials commonly measure observed changes in Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) total score. However, it is more intuitive to think of response vs nonresponse, a binary outcome. Assessing binary outcomes enables calculation of number needed to treat (NNT) for therapeutic outcomes, number needed to harm (NNH) for adverse outcomes, and likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH) to demonstrate benefit/risk tradeoffs. Here, NNT, NNH, and LHH were used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of aripiprazole lauroxil in patients with an acute schizophrenia exacerbation.MethodsCategorical efficacy and tolerability data were taken from the pivotal Phase 3 trial evaluating aripiprazole lauroxil for treatment of an acute exacerbation of schizophrenia. NNT and NNH values, with 95% CIs, were calculated in this post hoc analysis.ResultsUsing the intent-to-treat population for the pooled doses of aripiprazole lauroxil (441 mg [n=196] and 882 mg [n=204] q4w), responder rates (≥30% improvement from baseline PANSS total score) were 35.3% for aripiprazole lauroxil arms vs 18.4% for placebo (n=196), yielding a NNT of 6 (95% CI: 5-11). Discontinuation rates due to adverse events (AEs) were higher among patients randomized to placebo than to either aripiprazole lauroxil dose. Akathisia was the only AE with an incidence ≥5% in each aripiprazole lauroxil group and at least twice that of placebo (11.6%, 11.5%, and 4.3% of the patients receiving aripiprazole lauroxil 441 mg, 882 mg, and placebo, respectively), producing a NNH of 14 (95% CI: 9-33) for pooled aripiprazole lauroxil doses vs placebo. Calculating LHH for therapeutic response vs akathisia, aripiprazole lauroxil was 2.3 times more likely to result in a therapeutic response than an incident of akathisia.ConclusionUsing metrics of NNT, NNH, and LHH, aripiprazole lauroxil was an efficacious and well-tolerated intervention in a pivotal study in patients with an acute schizophrenia exacerbation.
| S-EPMC6751763 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundWe sought to compare the effect sizes hypothesized in the trial design, observed in the trial results, and considered clinically meaningful by the American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) 2014 recommendations, in phase III trials of targeted and immunological therapies.MethodsWe studied phase III, superiority trials of targeted and immunological therapies in advanced cancers published from 2005 to 2015. We recorded the characteristics, design parameters, and observed results for the primary endpoint of each trial. The effect sizes hypothesized in the trial design were compared with the ASCO 2014 recommendation that phase III trials be designed to detect overall survival (OS) benefits that are clinically meaningful (hazard ratio ≤0.8).ResultsAll critical elements of the trial design (effect sizes hypothesized, estimated survival in the control group, power, and significance level) were identified in 165 of 213 included trials (77%). Of trials with a statistically significant result for the primary endpoint, 16 of 30 (53%) with a primary endpoint of OS and 20 of 53 (38%) with a primary endpoint of progression free survival (PFS) had an observed effect size less extreme than hypothesized; and 7 of 30 trials (23%) reported an observed effect size for OS that was statistically significant but not clinically meaningful (HR > 0.80) according to the ASCO 2014 recommendations.ConclusionMany trials were designed such that an observed benefit in OS or PFS that was not clinically meaningful would be statistically significant. Phase III trials should be designed to provide results that are statistically significant for observed effects that are clinically meaningful but not for observed results that are of dubious clinical importance.
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