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Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 increases mortality risks and burdens in Brazil.


ABSTRACT: To assess mortality risks and burdens associated with short-term exposure to wildfire-related fine particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5), we collect daily mortality data from 2000 to 2016 for 510 immediate regions in Brazil, the most wildfire-prone area. We integrate data from multiple sources with a chemical transport model at the global scale to isolate daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2.5 at a 0.25 × 0.25 resolution. With a two-stage time-series approach, we estimate (i) an increase of 3.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.4, 3.9%) in all-cause mortality, 2.6% (95%CI: 1.5, 3.8%) in cardiovascular mortality, and 7.7% (95%CI: 5.9, 9.5) in respiratory mortality over 0-14 days with each 10 μg/m3 increase in daily wildfire-related PM2.5; (ii) 0.65% of all-cause, 0.56% of cardiovascular, and 1.60% of respiratory mortality attributable to acute exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5, corresponding to 121,351 all-cause deaths, 29,510 cardiovascular deaths, and 31,287 respiratory deaths during the study period. In this study, we find stronger associations in females and adults aged ≥ 60 years, and geographic difference in the mortality risks and burdens.

SUBMITTER: Ye T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9741581 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM<sub>2.5</sub> increases mortality risks and burdens in Brazil.

Ye Tingting T   Xu Rongbin R   Yue Xu X   Chen Gongbo G   Yu Pei P   Coêlho Micheline S Z S MSZS   Saldiva Paulo H N PHN   Abramson Michael J MJ   Guo Yuming Y   Li Shanshan S  

Nature communications 20221210 1


To assess mortality risks and burdens associated with short-term exposure to wildfire-related fine particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM<sub>2.5</sub>), we collect daily mortality data from 2000 to 2016 for 510 immediate regions in Brazil, the most wildfire-prone area. We integrate data from multiple sources with a chemical transport model at the global scale to isolate daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM<sub>2.5</sub> at a 0.25 × 0.25 resolution. With a two-stage time-series app  ...[more]

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