Forecasting sub-national trends in COVID-19 vaccine uptake in the UK before vaccine rollout.

ABSTRACT: Vaccines have reduced the burden of COVID-19 disease in the UK since their introduction in December 2020. At the time of their introduction, it was unclear the extent to which COVID-19 vaccines would be accepted and how spatial variations in uptake would emerge, driven by socio-demographic characteristics. In this study, data from a large-scale cross-sectional study of over 17,000 adults, surveyed in September and October 2020, was used to provide sub-national forecasts of COVID-19 vaccine uptake across the UK. Bayesian multilevel regression and poststratification was deployed to forecast COVID-19 vaccine acceptance before vaccine rollout across 174 regions of the UK. Although it was found that a majority of the UK adult population would likely take the vaccine, there were substantial hete

SUBMITTER: de Figueiredo A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9746557 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature