The impact of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Hong Kong SAR China and Singapore.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Vaccination has been the most important measure to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic. The vaccination coverage was relatively low in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region China, compared to Singapore, in early 2022. Hypothetically, if the two regions, Hong Kong (HK) and Singapore (SG), swap their vaccination coverage rate, what outcome would occur?

Method

We adopt the Susceptible - Vaccinated - Exposed - Infectious - Hospitalized - Death - Recovered model with a time-varying transmission rate and fit the model to weekly reported COVID-19 deaths (the data up to 2022 Nov 4) in HK and SG using R package POMP. After we obtain a reasonable fitting, we rerun our model with the estimated parameter values and swap the vaccination rates between HK and SG to explore what wou

SUBMITTER: Yu B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9763205 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature