Assessing COVID-19-Related Excess Mortality Using Multiple Approaches—Italy, 2020–2021

ABSTRACT: Introduction: Excess mortality (EM) is a valid indicator of COVID-19’s impact on public health. Several studies regarding the estimation of EM have been conducted in Italy, and some of them have shown conflicting values. We focused on three estimation models and compared their results with respect to the same target population, which allowed us to highlight their strengths and limitations. Methods: We selected three estimation models: model 1 (Maruotti et al.) is a Negative-Binomial GLMM with seasonal patterns; model 2 (Dorrucci et al.) is a Negative Binomial GLM epidemiological approach; and model 3 (Scortichini et al.) is a quasi-Poisson GLM time-series approach with temperature distributions. We extended the time windows of the original models until December 2021, computing various EM e

SUBMITTER: Ceccarelli E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9779266 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature