A comparative study on the three calculation methods for reproduction numbers of COVID-19.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

This study uses four COVID-19 outbreaks as examples to calculate and compare merits and demerits, as well as applicational scenarios, of three methods for calculating reproduction numbers.

Method

The epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreaks are described. Through the definition method, the next-generation matrix-based method, and the epidemic curve and serial interval (SI)-based method, corresponding reproduction numbers were obtained and compared.

Results

Reproduction numbers (R _eff ), obtained by the definition method of the four regions, are 1.20, 1.14, 1.66, and 1.12. Through the next generation matrix method, in region H R _eff = 4.30, 0.44; region P R _eff

SUBMITTER: Abudunaibi B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9849755 | biostudies-literature | 2022

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature