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ABSTRACT: Purpose
Burkitt lymphoma (BL) has unique biology and clinical course but lacks a standardized prognostic model. We developed and validated a novel prognostic index specific for BL to aid risk stratification, interpretation of clinical trials, and targeted development of novel treatment approaches.Methods
We derived the BL International Prognostic Index (BL-IPI) from a real-world data set of adult patients with BL treated with immunochemotherapy in the United States between 2009 and 2018, identifying candidate variables that showed the strongest prognostic association with progression-free survival (PFS). The index was validated in an external data set of patients treated in Europe, Canada, and Australia between 2004 and 2019.Results
In the derivation cohort of 633 patients with BL, age ≥ 40 years, performance status ≥ 2, serum lactate dehydrogenase > 3× upper limit of normal, and CNS involvement were selected as equally weighted factors with an independent prognostic value. The resulting BL-IPI identified groups with low (zero risk factors, 18% of patients), intermediate (one factor, 36% of patients), and high risk (≥ 2 factors, 46% of patients) with 3-year PFS estimates of 92%, 72%, and 53%, respectively, and 3-year overall survival estimates of 96%, 76%, and 59%, respectively. The index discriminated outcomes regardless of HIV status, stage, or first-line chemotherapy regimen. Patient characteristics, relative size of the BL-IPI groupings, and outcome discrimination were consistent in the validation cohort of 457 patients, with 3-year PFS estimates of 96%, 82%, and 63% for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk BL-IPI, respectively.Conclusion
The BL-IPI provides robust discrimination of survival in adult BL, suitable for use as prognostication and stratification in trials. The high-risk group has suboptimal outcomes with standard therapy and should be considered for innovative treatment approaches.
SUBMITTER: Olszewski AJ
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9851706 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Apr
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Olszewski Adam J AJ Jakobsen Lasse H LH Collins Graham P GP Cwynarski Kate K Bachanova Veronika V Blum Kristie A KA Boughan Kirsten M KM Bower Mark M Dalla Pria Alessia A Danilov Alexey A David Kevin A KA Diefenbach Catherine C Ellin Fredrik F Epperla Narendranath N Farooq Umar U Feldman Tatyana A TA Gerrie Alina S AS Jagadeesh Deepa D Kamdar Manali M Karmali Reem R Kassam Shireen S Kenkre Vaishalee P VP Khan Nadia N Kim Seo-Hyun SH Klein Andreas K AK Lossos Izidore S IS Lunning Matthew A MA Martin Peter P Martinez-Calle Nicolas N Montoto Silvia S Naik Seema S Palmisiano Neil N Peace David D Phillips Elizabeth H EH Phillips Tycel J TJ Portell Craig A CA Reddy Nishitha N Santarsieri Anna A Sarraf Yazdy Maryam M Smeland Knut B KB Smith Scott E SE Smith Stephen D SD Sundaram Suchitra S Zayac Adam S AS Zhang Xiao-Yin XY Zhu Catherine C Cheah Chan Y CY El-Galaly Tarec C TC Evens Andrew M AM
Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology 20210127 10
<h4>Purpose</h4>Burkitt lymphoma (BL) has unique biology and clinical course but lacks a standardized prognostic model. We developed and validated a novel prognostic index specific for BL to aid risk stratification, interpretation of clinical trials, and targeted development of novel treatment approaches.<h4>Methods</h4>We derived the BL International Prognostic Index (BL-IPI) from a real-world data set of adult patients with BL treated with immunochemotherapy in the United States between 2009 a ...[more]