Expectations of non-COVID-19 deaths during the pre-vaccine pandemic: a process-control approach.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Debate over "social distancing" as a response to the pandemic includes the claim that disrupting clinical and public health programming dependent on human-to-human contact increased non-COVID-19 deaths. This claim warrants testing because novel pathogens will continue to emerge. Tests, however, appear frustrated by lack of a convention for estimating non-COVID-19 deaths that would have occurred had clinical and public health programming during the pre-vaccine pandemic remained as efficacious as in the pre-pandemic era. Intending to hasten the emergence of such a convention, we describe and demonstrate "new-signal, prior-response expectations" suggested by research and methods at the intersection of epidemiology and process control engineering.

Methods

Using German

SUBMITTER: Catalano R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9870657 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature