Scenarios of land use and land cover change in the Colombian Amazon to evaluate alternative post-conflict pathways.

ABSTRACT: Pastures and crops have been expanding at an accelerated rate in the forests of the Colombian Amazon since the peace accords were signed in 2016. The rapid loss of tropical rainforests is threatening the integrity of protected areas and connectivity in the Amazon and other natural regions. In the context of the post-conflict stage, a set of land use and land cover change scenarios were constructed for the Colombian Amazon for the year 2040, using expert coherent narratives. Three scenarios were designed: trend, extractivist, and sustainable development. Historic land use change and driving factors were analyzed throughout 14 transitions between the years 2002 and 2016, based on the interpretation of Landsat images and their relationship with 29 driving factors using artificial neural netwo

SUBMITTER: Agudelo-Hz WJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9905563 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature