Risk assessment for cross-border transmission of multi-country Mpox outbreaks in 2022.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

Global trade and travel have facilitated infectious disease transmission. In 2022, over a short time, cross-border Mpox (monkeypox) outbreaks were reported. Since, most countries are at risk of cross-border Mpox transmissions, in this study, we developed a real-time risk assessment model for the cross-border transmission of Mpox.

Methods

This model includes priori indicators related to the source area before the Mpox outbreak and posterior indicators derived from the quantitative data evaluation afterward. Based on transportation, this model can also be used to assess the global import risk of Mpox for specific countries and cities.

Results

European risk values displayed high levels between May and July 2022 and gradually decreased after July. After Septemb

SUBMITTER: Huang Q 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9936807 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature