Parallel evolution and control method for predicting the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions in pandemics.

ABSTRACT:

Aim

Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are important strategies to utilize in reducing the negative systemic impact pandemic disasters have on human health. However, early on in the pandemic, the lack of prior knowledge and the rapidly changing nature of pandemics make it challenging to construct effective epidemiological models that can be used for anti-contagion decision-making.

Subject and methods

Based on the parallel control and management theory (PCM) and epidemiological models, we developed a Parallel Evolution and Control Framework for Epidemics (PECFE), which can optimize epidemiological models according to the dynamic information during the evolution of pandemics.

Results

The cross-application between PCM and epidemiological models enabled us to successf

SUBMITTER: Huang HN 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9942014 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature