Dataset Information

Trends in Online Search Activity and the Correlation with Daily New Cases of Monkeypox among 102 Countries or Territories.

ABSTRACT: Research assessing the trend in online search activity on monkeypox (mpox) and the correlation with the mpox epidemic at the global and national level is scarce. The trend of online search activity and the time-lag correlations between it and daily new mpox cases were estimated by using segmented interrupted time-series analysis and Spearman correlation coefficient (rs), respectively. We found that after the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC), the proportion of countries or territories with increasing changes in online search activity was lowest in Africa (8.16%, 4/49), and a downward trend in online search activity was highest in North America (8/31, 25.81%). The time-lag effect of global online search activity on daily new cases was significant (rs = 0.24). There were eight countries or territories with significant time-lag effect; the top three countries or territories were Brazil (rs = 0.46), United States (rs = 0.24), and Canada (rs = 0.24). Interest behavior in mpox was insufficient, even after the declaration of PHEIC, especially in Africa and North America. Online search activity could be used as an early indicator of the outbreak of mpox at the global level and in epidemic countries.

SUBMITTER: Du M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9963132 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Trends in Online Search Activity and the Correlation with Daily New Cases of Monkeypox among 102 Countries or Territories.

Du Min M Qin Chenyuan C Yan Wenxin W Liu Qiao Q Wang Yaping Y Zhu Lin L Liang Wannian W Liu Min M Liu Jue J

International journal of environmental research and public health 20230215 4

Research assessing the trend in online search activity on monkeypox (mpox) and the correlation with the mpox epidemic at the global and national level is scarce. The trend of online search activity and the time-lag correlations between it and daily new mpox cases were estimated by using segmented interrupted time-series analysis and Spearman correlation coefficient (rs), respectively. We found that after the declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC), the proportio ...[more]

PMID: 36834089

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Project description:BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. The extent to which CVD affects the population's health varies across countries. Moreover, quantitative estimates of the trend of inequalities in CVD burden remain unclear. The objective of our study was to assess the socioeconomic inequalities and temporal trends of CVD burden across 186 countries and territories from 2000 to 2019.MethodsWe extracted data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019, and conducted a cross-national time-series analysis. Age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates were used to measure the burden of CVDs, and gross national income (GNI) per capita was used to approximate the socioeconomic development. Concentration curves and concentration indexes (CIs) were generated to evaluate the cross-national socioeconomic inequality of CVD burden. A joinpoint regression analysis was used to quantify the changes in trends in socioeconomic inequality of CVD burden from 2000 to 2019.ResultsThe age-standardized DALY rates of CVDs decreased in 170 (91%) of 186 countries from 2000 to 2019. The concentration curves of the age-standardized DALY rates of CVDs were above the equality line from 2000 to 2019, indicating a disproportional distribution of CVD burden in low-income countries. The CIs declined from - 0.091 (95% CI: -0.128 to - 0.054) in 2000 to - 0.151 (95% CI: -0.190 to - 0.112) in 2019, indicating worsened pro-poor inequality distributions of CVD burden worldwide. A four-phase trend of changes in the CIs of age-standardized DALY rates for CVD was observed from 2000 to 2019, with an average annual percentage change (AAPC) of - 2.7% (95% CI: -3.0 to - 2.4). Decreasing trends in CIs were observed in all CVD subcategories but endocarditis, with AAPC ranging from - 6.6% (95% CI: -7.3 to - 5.9) for ischemic heart disease to - 0.2% (95% CI: -0.4 to - 0.1) for hypertensive heart disease.ConclusionsGlobally, the burden of CVD has decreased in more than 90% of countries over the past two decades, accompanied by an increasing trend of cross-country inequalities. Moreover, the overall burden of CVD continues to fall primarily on low-income countries.

Project description:BackgroundThe Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) has reported that HIV/AIDS continues to take a disproportionate toll on global health. However, the trends in global inequality of HIV/AIDS burden have remained ambiguous over the past two decades. The objectives of our study were to assess the socioeconomic inequalities, and temporal trends of HIV/AIDS across 186 countries and territories from 2000 to 2019.MethodsWe extracted data from the GBD 2019, and conducted a cross-national time-series analysis. Age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates were used to measure the global burden of HIV/AIDS. Gross national income (GNI) per capita was used to approximate the national socioeconomic status. Linear regression analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between age-standardized DALY rates due to HIV/AIDS and GNI per capita. The concentration curve and concentration index (CI) were generated to evaluate the cross-national socioeconomic inequality of HIV/AIDS burden. A joinpoint regression analysis was used to quantify the changes in trends in socioeconomic inequality of HIV/AIDS burden from 2000 to 2019.ResultsA decrease in age-standardized DALY rates for HIV/AIDS occurred in 132 (71%) of 186 countries/territories from 2000 to 2019, of which 52 (39%) countries/territories achieved a decrease in DALYs of more than 50%, and 27 (52%) of the 52 were from sub-Saharan Africa. The concentration curves of the age-standardized DALY rates of HIV/AIDS were above the equality line from 2000 to 2019. The CI rose from - 0.4625 (95% confidence interval - 0.6220 to -0.2629) in 2000 to -0.4122 (95% confidence interval - 0.6008 to -0.2235) in 2019. A four-phase trend of changes in the CIs of age-standardized DALY rates for HIV/AIDS was observed across 2000 to 2019, with an average increase of 0.6% (95% confidence interval 0.4 to 0.8, P < 0.001).ConclusionsGlobally, the burden of HIV/AIDS has decreased over the past two decades, accompanied by a trend of narrowing cross-country inequalities of HIV/AIDS burden. Moreover, the burden of HIV/AIDS continues to fall primarily in low-income countries.

Dataset Information

Trends in Online Search Activity and the Correlation with Daily New Cases of Monkeypox among 102 Countries or Territories.

Publications

Trends in Online Search Activity and the Correlation with Daily New Cases of Monkeypox among 102 Countries or Territories.

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