Impact of Reducing Intake of Red and Processed Meat on Colorectal Cancer Incidence in Germany 2020 to 2050-A Simulation Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

According to the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), there is sufficient evidence for the carcinogenicity of processed meat consumption in humans, specifically regarding colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Evidence for the carcinogenicity of red meat consumption is more limited but points in the same direction.

Methods

A macro-simulation approach was used to calculate age- and sex-specific potential impact fractions in a 30-year period (2020-2050).

Aims

We estimated numbers and proportions of future CRC cases preventable under different scenarios of reducing the intake of processed and red meat in the German population.

Results

Eliminating processed meat intake could reduce the burden of CRC by approximately 205,000 cases in Germany (9.6%)

SUBMITTER: Niedermaier T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9966277 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature