Evolutionary adaptation of trees and modelled future larch forest extent in Siberia.

ABSTRACT: With changing climate, the boreal forest could potentially migrate north and become threatened by droughts in the south. However, whether larches, the dominant tree species in eastern Siberia, can adapt to novel situations is largely unknown but is crucial for predicting future population dynamics. Exploring variable traits and trait adaptation through inheritance in an individual-based model can improve our understanding and help future projections. We updated the individual-based spatially explicit vegetation model LAVESI (Larix Vegetation Simulator), used for forest predictions in Eastern Siberia, with trait value variation and incorporated inheritance of parental values to their offspring. Forcing the model with both past and future climate projections, we simulated two areas -

SUBMITTER: Gloy J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9972785 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature